Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 16.727494 18.998309 21.472084 24.368417 27.668444 31.313617 35.648659
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 13.952819 17.016477 20.603173 25.117608 30.656626 37.242306 45.684093
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 11.539957 15.003791 19.330552 25.144732 32.774464 42.475084 55.793141
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 9.282468 12.807725 17.484927 24.166256 33.504176 46.149624 64.673955
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 7.533824 10.992892 15.850636 23.203139 34.112508 49.800587 74.252716
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 6.345670 9.764609 14.832828 22.939812 35.678274 55.085395 87.200485
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.481701 8.872735 14.165484 23.091252 37.909050 61.773539 103.615951
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.720687 8.015398 13.415124 22.990653 39.742587 68.193395 120.923826
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.241333 7.540702 13.208499 23.759748 43.180635 77.911076 145.860714
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.734185 6.933433 12.678759 23.877876 45.509790 86.141819 169.856844
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.200386 6.189065 11.784742 23.175134 46.201463 91.510795 189.561252
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.800300 5.630728 11.146459 22.852236 47.578781 98.470761 213.975978
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.546839 5.330500 10.983104 23.506887 51.190995 110.888649 253.262610
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.350246 5.114482 10.957184 24.457564 55.657112 126.082239 302.433578
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.115031 4.775903 10.618327 24.669114 58.548130 138.439946 348.081847
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.837227 4.294868 9.887355 23.853144 58.902176 145.041133 381.331199
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.598918 3.864203 9.199077 23.013766 59.049418 151.226949 415.206006
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.433617 3.579907 8.808343 22.840901 60.870326 162.079815 464.593096
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.310333 3.378469 8.586163 23.063143 63.799768 176.533115 528.048092
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.188693 3.160212 8.284737 23.019867 66.010518 189.549648 590.841563
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.118551 3.066263 8.292366 23.837502 70.871185 211.255856 686.498740
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.028391 2.901905 8.082295 23.994394 73.830020 228.046165 771.095560
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.918141 2.661835 7.620726 23.317988 74.101035 236.677440 830.840422